Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Sunday Night Football Week 17
Published 8:36 pm Saturday, December 28, 2024
Based on our computer model, the Washington Commanders will beat the Atlanta Falcons when they play at Commanders Field on Sunday, Dec. 29 (at 8:20 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available below.
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On the offensive side of the ball, the Commanders have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best in the NFL by averaging 28.8 points per game. They rank 19th on defense (23.2 points allowed per game). In terms of points scored the Falcons rank 17th in the NFL (21.8 points per game), and they are 20th on defense (23.3 points allowed per game).
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Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Commanders (-3.5) | Over (46.5) | Commanders 29, Falcons 20 |
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Falcons Betting Info
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 39.2% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
- Atlanta has covered six times in 15 games with a spread this year.
- The Falcons have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
- In 2024, five Atlanta games have hit the over.
- Games involving the Falcons this year have averaged 46 points per game, a 0.5-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
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Commanders Betting Info
- The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Commanders a 65.5% chance to win.
- Washington is 9-6-0 ATS this season.
- When playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Commanders have an ATS record of 3-2.
- So far this season, 10 of Washington’s 15 games have gone over the point total.
- Commanders games this season have posted an average total of 46.1, which is 0.4 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
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Falcons vs. Commanders 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | 28.8 | 23.2 | 30.5 | 20.9 | 26.9 | 25.9 |
| Falcons | 21.8 | 23.3 | 22.1 | 21.6 | 21.4 | 25.1 |
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