South Alabama vs. Georgia State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 2

Published 7:29 pm Wednesday, January 1, 2025

Thursday’s game at Georgia State Convocation Center has the South Alabama Jaguars (9-4, 1-0 Sun Belt) taking on the Georgia State Panthers (4-9, 0-1 Sun Belt) at 7:00 PM (on January 2). Our computer prediction projects a 73-69 victory for South Alabama, who is a small favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Georgia State projects to cover the 7.5-point spread in its matchup versus South Alabama. The over/under is currently listed at 139.5, and the two teams are projected to exceed it.

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South Alabama vs. Georgia State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: Georgia State Convocation Center
  • Line: South Alabama -7.5
  • Point total: 139.5
  • Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -319, Georgia State +245

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South Alabama vs. Georgia State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    South Alabama 73, Georgia State 69

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Georgia State

  • Pick ATS: Georgia State (+7.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (139.5)

South Alabama is 7-4-0 against the spread, while Georgia State’s ATS record this season is 5-7-0. The Jaguars are 5-6-0 and the Panthers are 5-7-0 in terms of hitting the over. The teams combine to score 146.2 points per game, 6.7 more points than this matchup’s total. South Alabama is 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its past 10 contests, while Georgia State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 2-8 overall.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

  • The Jaguars are outscoring opponents by 12.2 points per game with a +159 scoring differential overall. They put up 74.9 points per game (206th in college basketball) and allow 62.7 per outing (20th in college basketball).
  • South Alabama grabs 30.7 rebounds per game (290th in college basketball) compared to the 31.0 of its opponents.
  • South Alabama knocks down 9.7 three-pointers per game (45th in college basketball) at a 33.6% rate (194th in college basketball), compared to the 11.8 per contest its opponents make while shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc.
  • The Jaguars’ 102.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 69th in college basketball, and the 85.7 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 77th in college basketball.
  • South Alabama has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 8.2 per game (first in college basketball play) while forcing 13.5 (76th in college basketball).

Georgia State Performance Insights

  • The Panthers’ -101 scoring differential (being outscored by 7.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 71.3 points per game (279th in college basketball) while giving up 79.1 per contest (334th in college basketball).
  • The 35.4 rebounds per game Georgia State accumulates rank 68th in the country, 3.8 more than the 31.6 its opponents record.
  • Georgia State hits 6.6 three-pointers per game (290th in college basketball), 1.5 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 31.5% from beyond the arc (286th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 31.1%.
  • Georgia State has committed 2.6 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 12.6 (272nd in college basketball) while forcing 10.0 (325th in college basketball).

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