Hawks vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 24

Published 7:16 am Monday, February 24, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) are 1.5-point favorites as they look to turn around a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The matchup airs at 7:30 PM ET on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, February 24, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Hawks 115 – Heat 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Hawks (-2.0)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (230.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.8
  • The Heat (25-30-0 ATS) have covered the spread 47.4% of the time, 1.9% less often than the Hawks (27-30-0) this season.
  • Atlanta (5-15) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 1.5 points or more this season (25%) than Miami (10-15) does as a 1.5+-point underdog (40%).
  • When it comes to going over the over/under in 2024-25, Atlanta does it better (57.9% of the time) than Miami (54.5%).
  • The Hawks have a .474 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (9-10) this season while the Heat have a .333 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (8-16).

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • The Hawks’ defense ranks third-worst in the NBA with 119.6 points allowed per contest, but their offense has been more consistent, putting up 117 points per game (seventh-ranked in league).
  • Atlanta is pulling down 45 rebounds per game (11th-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 44.7 rebounds per contest (20th-ranked).
  • With 29.3 dimes per game, the Hawks rank second-best in the league in the category.
  • Atlanta is second-best in the NBA with 15.8 forced turnovers per game, but it ranks fifth-worst in the league by averaging 15 turnovers per contest.
  • So far this season, the Hawks are draining 13.1 three-pointers per game (15th-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 35% (20th-ranked) from downtown.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Heat are 24th in the NBA on offense (110.1 points scored per game) and eighth on defense (110.9 points conceded).
  • On the boards, Miami is 17th in the league in rebounds (44.1 per game). It is 24th in rebounds allowed (45.6 per game).
  • At 26.1 assists per game, the Heat are 16th in the league.
  • In 2024-25, Miami is fifth-best in the league in turnovers committed (12.6 per game) and ranked 24th in turnovers forced (12.5).
  • The Heat are eighth in the league in 3-pointers made (13.9 per game) and 15th in 3-point percentage (35.9%).

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