Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 24

Published 7:16 am Monday, February 24, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) are 1.5-point underdogs as they try to turn around a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The matchup airs at 7:30 PM ET on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

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Heat vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, February 24, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Heat vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Hawks 115 – Heat 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (+ 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Hawks (-2.0)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (227.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.8
  • The Heat (25-30-0 ATS) have covered the spread 45.5% of the time, 1.9% less often than the Hawks (27-30-0) this season.
  • When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, Miami (15-15) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (50%) than Atlanta (22-15) does as the underdog (59.5%).
  • When it comes to topping the over/under in 2024-25, Miami does it in fewer games (54.5% of the time) than Atlanta (57.9%).
  • The Heat have a .581 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (18-13) this season, higher than the .447 winning percentage for the Hawks as a moneyline underdog (17-21).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • The Heat are 24th in the NBA with 110.1 points per game so far this season. At the other end of the court, they rank eighth with 110.9 points allowed per contest.
  • Miami is averaging 44.1 boards per game (17th-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 45.6 rebounds per contest (24th-ranked).
  • The Heat rank 16th in the NBA with 26.1 dimes per contest.
  • Miami ranks fifth-best in the NBA by averaging just 12.6 turnovers per game. In terms of forced turnovers, it ranks 24th in the league (12.5 per contest).
  • The Heat are making 13.9 three-pointers per game (eighth-ranked in NBA) this year, while owning a 35.9% three-point percentage (15th-ranked).

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Hawks are seventh in the league on offense (117 points scored per game) and third-worst defensively (119.6 points allowed).
  • Atlanta is 11th in the NBA in rebounds per game (45) and 20th in rebounds conceded (44.7).
  • With 29.3 assists per game, the Hawks are second-best in the league.
  • In terms of turnovers, Atlanta is fifth-worst in the NBA in committing them (15 per game). But it is second-best in forcing them (15.8 per game).
  • With 13.1 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 35% from beyond the arc, the Hawks are 15th and 20th in the league, respectively, in those categories.

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