NBA Best Bets: Hawks vs. Heat Picks for February 24
Published 5:33 am Monday, February 24, 2025
The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) are favored (-1.5) to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The contest airs on FDSSE and FDSSUN.
Our computer predictions for Monday’s game will assist you in placing an informed wager utilizing the best bets out there.
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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info
- When: Monday, February 24, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
- Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
- TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Hawks vs. Heat Best Bets
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Trae Young Over 28.5 PTS
- The 28.5-point total set for Trae Young on Monday is 4.3 more points than his season scoring average.
- Young is 27-for-53 at hitting the over on his points prop total this season.
- The Hawks are the NBA’s seventh-ranked scoring team (117 points per game), while the Heat are eighth defensively in terms of points conceded per game (110.9).
- Atlanta is 22-18 when putting up more points than 110.9.
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Tyler Herro Over 26.5 PTS
- The 26.5-point over/under for Tyler Herro on Monday is 2.3 higher than his season scoring average.
- Herro is 29-for-53 at going over his points prop this season.
- Miami’s squad is currently the 24th-ranked scoring team in the NBA (110.1 points per game), while Atlanta is 28th in points conceded (119.6 per game).
- Miami has put together a 9-4 record when it scores more than 119.6 points.
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Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)
- Atlanta’s record against the spread is 27-30-0.
- Miami’s record against the spread is 25-30-0.
- The Hawks have an ATS record of 5-15 as 1.5-point favorites or greater.
- Against the spread as 1.5-point underdogs or more, the Heat are 10-15.
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Pick OU:
Under (230.5)
- The Hawks and their opponents have scored more than 230.5 points in 36 of 57 games this season.
- The Heat have played 21 games this season that have gone over 230.5 combined points scored.
- Atlanta’s contests this year have an average point total of 234.7, 4.2 more points than this game’s over/under.
- Miami’s games this season have had an average of 219.2 points, 11.3 fewer points than this game’s total.
- The Hawks score the seventh-most points in the league this season, while the Heat’s offense puts up the 27th-most.
- This matchup features the NBA’s third-ranked (Heat) and 29th-ranked (Hawks) scoring defenses.
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Moneyline Pick: Hawks (-120)
- This season, the Hawks have been favored 19 times and won nine, or 47.4%, of those games.
- The Heat have come away with eight wins in the 24 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Atlanta has a record of 9-10, a 47.4% win rate, when it’s favored by -120 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- This year, Miami has won six of 21 games when listed as at least +100 or better on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Hawks.
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