Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 26
Published 9:16 pm Tuesday, February 25, 2025
Southeast Division opponents square off when the Miami Heat (26-30) host the Atlanta Hawks (27-31) at Kaseya Center, beginning at 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, February 26, 2025. The Hawks are 1.5-point underdogs in the game, the third matchup between the teams this season.
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Heat vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds
- Date: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSSE
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Venue: Kaseya Center
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Heat vs. Hawks Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Heat 116 – Hawks 112
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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Hawks
- Pick ATS: Heat (- 1.5)
- Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-3.3)
- Pick OU:
Under (229.5)
- Computer Predicted Total: 228.0
- The Heat (25-31-0 ATS) have covered the spread 44.6% of the time, 3.7% less often than the Hawks (28-30-0) this season.
- As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Atlanta is 22-15 against the spread compared to the 15-15 ATS record Miami racks up as a 1.5-point favorite.
- When it comes to topping the over/under in 2024-25, Miami does it less often (53.6% of the time) than Atlanta (56.9%).
- As a moneyline favorite this year, the Heat are 18-13, while the Hawks are 17-21 as moneyline underdogs.
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Heat Performance Insights
- With 109.7 points per game on offense, the Heat are 24th in the NBA. On defense, they cede 110.7 points per contest, which ranks seventh in the league.
- Miami is pulling down 44.1 rebounds per game (17th-ranked in league). It is allowing 45.7 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
- This season, the Heat rank 17th in the league in assists, averaging 25.9 per game.
- So far this season, Miami is averaging 12.7 turnovers per game (sixth-ranked in NBA) and forcing 12.6 turnovers per contest (23rd-ranked).
- With 13.8 threes per game, the Heat are 11th in the NBA. They sport a 35.6% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 17th in the league.
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Hawks Performance Insights
- The Hawks are eighth in the league in points scored (116.7 per game) and fourth-worst in points allowed (119).
- Atlanta grabs 45.1 rebounds per game and concede 44.7 boards, ranking 11th and 19th, respectively, in the league.
- The Hawks are second-best in the NBA in assists (29.3 per game) in 2024-25.
- In 2024-25, Atlanta is fifth-worst in the NBA in turnovers committed (15 per game) but second-best in turnovers forced (15.8).
- The Hawks are 15th in the league in 3-pointers made (13.1 per game) and 20th in 3-point percentage (34.9%).
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